Module 07 of 12

Probability Fundamentals

Lessons

About This Module

AI models learn from data that is noisy, incomplete, and uncertain, so they need a precise way to reason about uncertainty. That language is probability. A classifier does not just say "cat": it says how likely it thinks "cat" is.

The lessons start with the basics: events and how likely they are, then conditional probability and independence, which describe how learning one fact changes what you expect about another. From there they cover Bayes' theorem, a rule for updating beliefs as evidence arrives, and finish with expectation and variance, the average outcome and how much it varies.

Watch the lessons in order, then continue on to Random Variables & Distributions.

Lessons

6 videos
01

Probability Must-Knows for Machine Learning

An overview of the probability ideas you need to know for machine learning.

Video 41min
02

Conditional Probability and Independence

Introduces conditional probability and what it means for events to be independent.

Video 3min
03

Conditional probability explained visually (Bayes' Theorem)

A visual explanation of conditional probability that leads into Bayes' theorem.

Video 5min
04

Bayes' Theorem, Clearly Explained!!!!

A step-by-step explanation of Bayes' theorem.

Video 14min
05

Expectation and Variance Explained

Explains expected value and variance, the average outcome and how spread out outcomes are.

Video 3min
06

Expected Value & Variance (Discrete & Continuous Random Variables)

Covers expected value and variance for both discrete and continuous random variables.

Video 31min